December 11, 2019

Melting, everywhere

Melting of large deposits of ice, in glaciers and in permafrost, has been frequently with about in the recent years. When it comes to meeting on Greenland, we seem to be following the rates of the worst case predictions of older IPCC reports.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2019/12/10/greenland-ice-losses-have-septupled-are-pace-sea-level-worst-case-scenario-scientists-say/

https://www.tiede.fi/artikkeli/uutiset/gronlanti-sulaa-kuumimman-ennusteen-mukaan

There are some alarming developments in the Arctic permafrost of Sundries and Alaska. It seems like we will soon be crossing one threshold of positive feedback very soon.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/12/10/arctic-may-have-crossed-key-threshold-emitting-billions-tons-carbon-into-air-long-dreaded-climate-feedback/


“Especially noteworthy is the report’s conclusion that the Arctic already may have become a net emitter of planet-warming carbon emissions due to thawing permafrost, which would only accelerate global warming. Permafrost is the carbon-rich frozen soil that covers 24 percent of the Northern Hemisphere’s land mass, encompassing vast stretches of territory across Alaska, Canada, Siberia and Greenland. 
There has been concern throughout the scientific community that the approximately 1,460 billion to 1,600 billion metric tons of organic carbon stored in frozen Arctic soils, almost twice the amount of greenhouse gases as what is contained in the atmosphere, could be released as the permafrost melts.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/14/opinion/sunday/climate-change-arctic.html
The ice is a great white shield that reflects incoming solar warming back to space during the long summer days of the midnight sun. Otherwise, it would be absorbed by the ocean. Losing this ice, the study explained, would be the warming equivalent of an extra 25 years of emissions at current rates.”

Long time no see

I haven't written anything in quite a while. Maybe I should.

This  page has been functioning as my dumping found for excess thoughts, caused by reading way too much news, especially during the years 2002-2009 when I had something like an addiction, following the war on Iraq and the global economic downturn, fueled by the subprime crisis. I have certainly followed news very actively, but not with such an addiction anymore.

Recently, there has been a heightened level of interest in physical signs of climate change, rise of far right populist movements and overall political polarization in developed countries. I feel that a prolonged global trade war between the US and China is still just in its infancy, and will get quite a lot more intense, before settling into a new status quo.

The next economic downturn in the US will leave much more devastation behind it than most people currently realize, due to the pro-cyclic Republican tax policies that have produced a massive budget deficit at the very top of the business cycle. There will be no room for stimulus in the next downturn. The result will be either a self-enforcing austerity or a dramatic collapse in the value of the dollar and possible loss of US credit rating.

After some strange, partially media-led turmoil, our Finnish government is now led by a much younger group of people than ever since the 70's. This is a welcome development, but I hope they keep their feet on the ground. The centre-leftist government is met with a corporate media dead-set against some of its goals. It is difficult to filter the substance from the opinion.

With these developments, I am feeling that there is a risk of getting a information indigestion. It is certainly not helped by all the information that I need to digest in my professional life, which nowadays seems to consist of continuous learning of new software development tools and libraries.